In this Forecast Report No. 7, UP experts cite data analyses to show that the past enhanced community quarantine worked to reduce transmission and deaths due to COVID-19. However, in certain areas of the country, the risk level of the pandemic is still high. Read about the recommendations of UP scientists regarding the continuation of quarantine measures in some areas and the loosening of restrictions in others.
Using mathematical modeling, UP scientists have made forecasts of the current trends of COVID-19 infections, and based on these forecasts, recommend the extension of ECQ beyond May 15 for NCR and other areas of the country, among others.
A team of UP faculty publishes its COVID-19 forecasts and analysis for the Philippines with suggestions on parameters for localized modified ECQ.